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V-Lab

RTX Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

12.54

decreased by 0.04

1 Week

11.74

decreased by 0.84

1 Month

12.02

decreased by 0.56

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 376 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0217
6.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0474
11.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9508
219.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0049
-1.83*
γ20.0065
1.21

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

376 days