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Ryojbaba Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

290,693.20

decreased by 53,012.50

1 Week

441,811.64

increased by 98,105.94

1 Month

564,109.13

increased by 220,403.43

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ryojbaba Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1990
4.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7292
60.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1436
1.89*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-