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V-Lab

Ryojbaba Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

246,052.60

decreased by 7,881.20

1 Week

435,665.32

increased by 181,731.52

1 Month

472,341.35

increased by 218,407.55

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ryojbaba Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 321 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9072
3.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4553
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5426
7.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-12.8245
-2.13**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

321 days