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V-Lab

Guangdong Shaoneng Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

73.66

increased by 28.15

1 Week

62.88

increased by 17.37

1 Month

133.75

increased by 88.24

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Shaoneng Group ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1265
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2637
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7363
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0308
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

138629 days