Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

180,124.50

increased by 29,843.40

1 Week

151,995.55

increased by 1,714.45

1 Month

153,268.83

increased by 2,987.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4568
4.92***
αARCH0.1966
5.00***
βGARCH0.7771
18.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ12.1633
3.36***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4568
4.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1966
5.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7771
18.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ12.1633
3.36***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days