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Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

96,117.38

decreased by 6,405.42

1 Week

111,372.02

increased by 8,849.22

1 Month

128,943.11

increased by 26,420.31

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4142
4.72***
αARCH0.1955
5.16***
βGARCH0.7799
18.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.9716
3.44***

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4142
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1955
5.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7799
18.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.9716
3.44***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days