V-Lab
Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
440,900.90
decreased by 49,475.60
1 Week
505,006.48
increased by 14,629.98
1 Month
437,011.71
decreased by 53,364.79
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 9, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0671 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2085 | 4.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7272 | 11.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.9522 | -0.68 |
| γ2 | 8.0892 | 3.15*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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