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V-Lab

Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

119,742.80

decreased by 27,083.30

1 Week

141,201.42

decreased by 5,624.68

1 Month

147,670.98

increased by 844.88

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5010
5.01***
αARCH0.2016
5.00***
βGARCH0.7721
17.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ12.1981
3.00***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5010
5.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2016
5.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7721
17.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ12.1981
3.00***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days