V-Lab
Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
519,256.50
decreased by 28,490.80
1 Week
481,538.08
decreased by 66,209.22
1 Month
389,540.90
decreased by 158,206.40
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 9, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0804 | 4.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2099 | 4.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7202 | 10.69*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -1.5690 | -1.10 |
| γ2 | 9.3834 | 3.56*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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