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V-Lab

Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

440,900.90

decreased by 49,475.60

1 Week

505,006.48

increased by 14,629.98

1 Month

437,011.71

decreased by 53,364.79

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0671
4.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2085
4.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7272
11.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.9522
-0.68
γ28.0892
3.15***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days