Skip to main content
V-Lab

Fangzhou Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

519,256.50

decreased by 28,490.80

1 Week

481,538.08

decreased by 66,209.22

1 Month

389,540.90

decreased by 158,206.40

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0804
4.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2099
4.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7202
10.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-1.5690
-1.10
γ29.3834
3.56***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days