V-Lab
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
16.65
decreased by 4.30
1 Week
19.46
decreased by 1.49
1 Month
15.08
decreased by 5.87
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 28, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2653 | 3.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3449 | 21.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6481 | 35.68*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0595 | 2.17** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
98 days
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