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Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

16.83

increased by 1.25

1 Week

18.20

increased by 2.62

1 Month

13.83

decreased by 1.75

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2011 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2823
3.54***
αARCH0.2984
10.43***
βGARCH0.6062
17.83***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3062
-2.10**
γ20.4360
2.25**
γ3-0.0713
-0.84
γ4-0.2703
-2.18**

0.905

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2823
3.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2984
10.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6062
17.83***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3062
-2.10**
γ20.4360
2.25**
γ3-0.0713
-0.84
γ4-0.2703
-2.18**

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days