Skip to main content
V-Lab

Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

22.10

increased by 2.60

1 Week

17.41

decreased by 2.09

1 Month

17.23

decreased by 2.27

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2639
3.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3442
21.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6487
35.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0595
2.18**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

98 days