V-Lab
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
22.10
increased by 2.60
1 Week
17.41
decreased by 2.09
1 Month
17.23
decreased by 2.27
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 28, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2639 | 3.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3442 | 21.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6487 | 35.80*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0595 | 2.18** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
98 days
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