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Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

3,441.64

increased by 596.25

1 Week

2,719.04

decreased by 126.35

1 Month

2,852.34

increased by 6.95

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9322
5.06***
αARCH0.2116
3.46***
βGARCH0.6929
7.66***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-12.5700
-3.99***

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9322
5.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2116
3.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6929
7.66***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-12.5700
-3.99***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days