V-Lab
Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4,913.45
decreased by 303.28
1 Week
4,924.28
decreased by 292.45
1 Month
5,236.38
increased by 19.65
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9769 | 5.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2309 | 2.25** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.2322 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.231
Half-life:
0 days
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