V-Lab
Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
10,533.10
increased by 1,030.23
1 Week
10,415.37
increased by 912.50
1 Month
9,253.43
decreased by 249.44
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.8894 | 6.50*** |
| αARCH | 0.2104 | 2.24** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.3794 | 0.87 |
0.210
Persistence0d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8894 | 6.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2104 | 2.24** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.3794 | 0.87 |
Persistence:
0.210
Half-life:
0 days
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