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Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

5,416.84

increased by 1,177.73

1 Week

4,992.83

increased by 753.72

1 Month

7,295.73

increased by 3,056.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1015
4.38***
αARCH0.3283
3.41***
βGARCH0.5161
4.56***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.1183
-2.26**

0.844

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1015
4.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3283
3.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5161
4.56***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.1183
-2.26**

Persistence:

0.844

Half-life:

4 days