V-Lab
Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8,348.21
decreased by 528.54
1 Week
7,254.21
decreased by 1,622.54
1 Month
6,569.92
decreased by 2,306.83
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1565 | 5.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2374 | 2.28** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 7.3784 | 0.99 |
Persistence:
0.237
Half-life:
0 days
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