V-Lab
Kandarp Digi Smart BPO Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
95,142.90
decreased by 14,493.40
1 Week
111,795.07
increased by 2,158.77
1 Month
125,304.97
increased by 15,668.67
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.8382 | 5.79*** |
| αARCH | 0.2028 | 5.01*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7046 | 11.59*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -1.0598 | -3.52*** |
| γ2 | 2.9732 | 4.94*** |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8382 | 5.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2028 | 5.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7046 | 11.59*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -1.0598 | -3.52*** |
| γ2 | 2.9732 | 4.94*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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