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Kente Catalysts Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

140.35

decreased by 10.22

1 Week

153.33

increased by 2.76

1 Month

179.69

increased by 29.12

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

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graph of Kente Catalysts Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2562
7.99***
αARCH0.0925
2.45**
βGARCH0.8093
10.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3795
-3.27***

0.902

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2562
7.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
2.45**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8093
10.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3795
-3.27***

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days