V-Lab
Kente Catalysts Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
193.10
increased by 23.21
1 Week
193.02
increased by 23.13
1 Month
204.51
increased by 34.62
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3036 | 8.02*** |
| αARCH | 0.0994 | 2.47** |
| βGARCH | 0.7873 | 8.78*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2176 | -2.65*** |
0.887
Persistence6d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3036 | 8.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0994 | 2.47** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7873 | 8.78*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2176 | -2.65*** |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
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