Kente Catalysts Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
242.92
increased by 45.32
1 Week
225.91
increased by 28.31
1 Month
175.35
decreased by 22.25
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.9885 | 0.67 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9020 | 26.62*** |
| γleverage | 0.1522 | 1.49 |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.9885 | 0.67 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9020 | 26.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1522 | 1.49 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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