V-Lab
& Do Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
63.42
decreased by 4.16
1 Week
69.38
increased by 1.80
1 Month
99.58
increased by 32.00
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 25, 2015 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 96% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6212 | 2.29** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0861 | 4.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8666 | 80.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0829 | 2.16** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
118 days
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