How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.6059	2.34**
αARCH	0.0865	4.78***
βGARCH	0.8675	81.39***
γleverage	0.0799	2.13**

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.6059	2.34**
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0865	4.78***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8675	81.39***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0799	2.13**

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& Do Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

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News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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