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Mekdam Holding Group W.L.L Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

27,926.12

increased by 5,177.27

1 Week

25,220.96

increased by 2,472.11

1 Month

28,239.41

increased by 5,490.56

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mekdam Holding Group W.L.L ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2021 to Aug 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1234
8.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8550
172.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0432
1.42

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-