V-Lab
Huadian Power International Corp Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
31.73
increased by 2.38
1 Week
30.84
increased by 1.49
1 Month
36.50
increased by 7.15
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 3, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0448 | 4.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1392 | 3.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8754 | 767.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0291 | -0.58 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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