How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	106
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2073	1.41
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7969	126.11***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0171	-0.06
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.2872	2.69***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.00
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9974	254.77***

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Huadian Power International Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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