Huadian Power International Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
29.18
1 Week
27.62
1 Month
26.04
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 3, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0773 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7885 | 0.05 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0620 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.2514 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9736 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0264 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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