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Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

54.92

increased by 4.29

1 Week

66.25

increased by 15.62

1 Month

112.91

increased by 62.28

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3173
0.51
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7277
186.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1053
-0.09
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4212
0.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9857
89.61***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

90 days