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Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

67.85

decreased by 11.76

1 Week

72.94

decreased by 6.67

1 Month

69.46

decreased by 10.15

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1998 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 250 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~250 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6973
2.64***
αARCH0.2955
11.79***
βGARCH0.7017
29.74***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.81*

0.997

Persistence

250d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6973
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2955
11.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7017
29.74***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.81*

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

250 days