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Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

117.91

increased by 9.39

1 Week

115.10

increased by 6.58

1 Month

92.82

decreased by 15.70

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Weichai Heavy Machinery Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2038 trading days (~8.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8021
4.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2929
16.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7068
40.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.6057
-3.19***
γ21.8393
3.91***
γ3-3.4621
-4.05***
γ44.5904
3.46***
γ5-3.3835
-3.02***
γ61.0707
2.57**
γ7-0.1818
-1.23

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2038 days