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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

130.87

increased by 33.99

1 Week

106.15

increased by 9.27

1 Month

199.18

increased by 102.30

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 05:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 141 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~141 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6994
5.66***
αARCH0.1899
13.38***
βGARCH0.8052
46.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0023
1.05

0.995

Persistence

141d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6994
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1899
13.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8052
46.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0023
1.05

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

141 days