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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

180.04

increased by 3.63

1 Week

203.26

increased by 26.85

1 Month

270.22

increased by 93.81

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 140 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7084
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1894
13.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8057
46.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0025
1.17

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

140 days