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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

197.26

decreased by 13.18

1 Week

242.27

increased by 31.83

1 Month

244.05

increased by 33.61

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 140 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7076
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1892
13.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8058
46.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0025
1.18

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

140 days