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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

245.65

decreased by 35.52

1 Week

270.44

decreased by 10.73

1 Month

243.00

decreased by 38.17

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 140 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7108
5.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1893
13.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8058
46.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0026
1.20

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

140 days