V-Lab
Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
206,068.50
decreased by 55,487.60
1 Week
241,466.18
decreased by 20,089.92
1 Month
194,774.32
decreased by 66,781.78
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 13, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 307 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0988 | 1.38 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2603 | 5.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7374 | 16.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.4456 | 2.58*** |
| γ2 | -1.1921 | -3.69*** |
| γ3 | 1.3129 | 4.48*** |
| γ4 | -0.6179 | -1.50 |
| γ5 | 0.0651 | 0.09 |
| γ6 | -0.5224 | -0.67 |
| γ7 | 1.0902 | 2.57** |
| γ8 | -0.8155 | -5.01*** |
| γ9 | 0.3686 | 3.19*** |
| γ10 | -0.3794 | -1.74* |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
307 days
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