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Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

120,435.70

increased by 11,135.60

1 Week

114,129.48

increased by 4,829.38

1 Month

181,879.49

increased by 72,579.39

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 310 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0980
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2596
5.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7382
17.07***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.4397
2.58***
γ2-1.1831
-3.70***
γ31.3125
4.49***
γ4-0.6265
-1.50
γ50.0715
0.09
γ6-0.5193
-0.65
γ71.0889
2.45**
γ8-0.8252
-4.86***
γ90.3796
3.28***
γ10-0.3930
-1.78*

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

310 days