Skip to main content
V-Lab

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

206,068.50

decreased by 55,487.60

1 Week

241,466.18

decreased by 20,089.92

1 Month

194,774.32

decreased by 66,781.78

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 307 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0988
1.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2603
5.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7374
16.96***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.4456
2.58***
γ2-1.1921
-3.69***
γ31.3129
4.48***
γ4-0.6179
-1.50
γ50.0651
0.09
γ6-0.5224
-0.67
γ71.0902
2.57**
γ8-0.8155
-5.01***
γ90.3686
3.19***
γ10-0.3794
-1.74*

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

307 days