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V-Lab

Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,484.76

decreased by 165.14

1 Week

3,908.48

increased by 258.58

1 Month

5,348.86

increased by 1,698.96

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4663
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1162
12.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8627
82.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0160
-0.37
γ2-0.1185
-1.84*
γ30.2573
5.63***
γ4-0.2552
-6.05***
γ50.2345
5.45***
γ6-0.1223
-2.77***
γ70.0174
0.26

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days