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V-Lab

Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

5,191.87

decreased by 705.87

1 Week

5,889.04

decreased by 8.70

1 Month

4,959.24

decreased by 938.50

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4671
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1168
12.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8619
81.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0138
-0.32
γ2-0.1228
-1.90*
γ30.2611
5.71***
γ4-0.2575
-6.08***
γ50.2332
5.39***
γ6-0.1162
-2.62***
γ70.0068
0.11

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days