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V-Lab

Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

6,952.50

decreased by 477.43

1 Week

6,613.66

decreased by 816.27

1 Month

5,841.08

decreased by 1,588.85

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4668
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1166
12.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8623
81.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0149
-0.34
γ2-0.1207
-1.87*
γ30.2592
5.67***
γ4-0.2563
-6.06***
γ50.2339
5.42***
γ6-0.1193
-2.69***
γ70.0120
0.19

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days