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V-Lab

Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5,085.86

decreased by 481.72

1 Week

5,839.95

increased by 272.37

1 Month

5,897.83

increased by 330.25

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4667
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1162
12.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8627
82.20***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0154
-0.35
γ2-0.1197
-1.85*
γ30.2583
5.65***
γ4-0.2559
-6.06***
γ50.2345
5.44***
γ6-0.1216
-2.74***
γ70.0175
0.27

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days