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Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

157.08

increased by 15.82

1 Week

144.82

increased by 3.56

1 Month

140.28

decreased by 0.98

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smo Clinplus Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~84 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0463
8.90***
αARCH0.0744
5.48***
βGARCH0.9173
64.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2617
-3.36***

0.992

Persistence

84d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0463
8.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0744
5.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9173
64.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2617
-3.36***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days