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Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

250.80

increased by 22.11

1 Week

246.23

increased by 17.54

1 Month

247.93

increased by 19.24

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smo Clinplus Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2022 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 105 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~105 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0495
8.79***
αARCH0.0780
5.81***
βGARCH0.9155
65.46***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1985
-2.17**

0.993

Persistence

105d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0495
8.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0780
5.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9155
65.46***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1985
-2.17**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

105 days