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Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

150.20

increased by 4.62

1 Month

170.59

increased by 25.01

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smo Clinplus Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2022 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~85 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0487
8.88***
αARCH0.0754
5.56***
βGARCH0.9164
64.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2519
-3.28***

0.992

Persistence

85d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0487
8.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0754
5.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9164
64.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2519
-3.28***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

85 days