V-Lab
Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
161.75
increased by 7.44
1 Week
156.82
increased by 2.51
1 Month
139.94
decreased by 14.37
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 83 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0459 | 8.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0759 | 5.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9159 | 62.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2681 | -3.31*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
83 days
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