V-Lab
Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
150.22
increased by 16.47
1 Week
126.90
decreased by 6.85
1 Month
139.01
increased by 5.26
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0439 | 8.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0741 | 5.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9175 | 64.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2731 | -3.50*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
82 days
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