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V-Lab

Grimoldi SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

6,262.93

increased by 1,892.45

1 Week

5,180.27

increased by 809.79

1 Month

7,131.05

increased by 2,760.57

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grimoldi SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4441
3.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1189
4.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8439
18.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0199
0.15
γ2-0.1875
-0.77
γ30.3722
1.02
γ4-0.7034
-2.29**
γ51.6743
7.36***
γ6-2.4468
-7.39***
γ71.5225
3.46***
γ8-0.2686
-0.44

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days