V-Lab
Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power Generation Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
187.04
decreased by 12.50
1 Week
192.00
decreased by 7.54
1 Month
240.96
increased by 41.42
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5874 trading days (~23.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4856 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2958 | 10.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7041 | 24.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0023 | -0.63 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5874 days
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