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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

2,696.25

decreased by 133.99

1 Week

2,992.76

increased by 162.52

1 Month

3,545.36

increased by 715.12

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7177
6.46***
αARCH0.1604
16.81***
βGARCH0.8288
85.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0077
4.20***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7177
6.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1604
16.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8288
85.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0077
4.20***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days