V-Lab
Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
4,178.02
increased by 560.73
1 Week
3,951.30
increased by 334.01
1 Month
2,771.39
decreased by 845.90
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2001 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7222 | 6.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.1606 | 16.81*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8286 | 85.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0077 | 4.21*** |
0.989
Persistence64d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7222 | 6.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1606 | 16.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8286 | 85.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0077 | 4.21*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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