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V-Lab

Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

1,458.65

decreased by 228.99

1 Week

1,701.04

increased by 13.40

1 Month

1,833.49

increased by 145.85

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7049
6.39***
αARCH0.1600
16.74***
βGARCH0.8293
85.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0075
3.97***

0.989

Persistence

65d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7049
6.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1600
16.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8293
85.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0075
3.97***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days