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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

656.26

increased by 130.43

1 Week

546.35

increased by 20.52

1 Month

516.90

decreased by 8.93

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3316 trading days (~13.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3316 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9602
4.43***
αARCH0.2257
16.20***
βGARCH0.7741
55.50***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0142
0.64

1.000

Persistence

3316d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9602
4.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2257
16.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7741
55.50***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0142
0.64

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3316 days