V-Lab
Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
314.63
increased by 91.74
1 Week
262.43
increased by 39.54
1 Month
267.52
increased by 44.63
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3316 trading days (~13.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3316 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9593 | 4.42*** |
| αARCH | 0.2264 | 16.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7734 | 55.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0126 | 0.56 |
1.000
Persistence3316d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9593 | 4.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2264 | 16.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7734 | 55.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0126 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3316 days
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