Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
656.26
increased by 130.43
1 Week
546.35
increased by 20.52
1 Month
516.90
decreased by 8.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3316 trading days (~13.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3316 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9602 | 4.43*** |
| αARCH | 0.2257 | 16.20*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7741 | 55.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0142 | 0.64 |
1.000
Persistence3316d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9602 | 4.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2257 | 16.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7741 | 55.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0142 | 0.64 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3316 days
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