V-Lab
Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
340.96
increased by 96.04
1 Week
241.21
decreased by 3.71
1 Month
295.77
increased by 50.85
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3348 trading days (~13.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9593 | 4.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2265 | 16.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7733 | 55.00*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0121 | 0.54 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3348 days
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