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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

493.68

increased by 51.06

1 Week

443.25

increased by 0.63

1 Month

313.19

decreased by 129.43

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 01:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3269 trading days (~13.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3269 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9601
4.42***
αARCH0.2263
16.19***
βGARCH0.7735
55.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0135
0.61

1.000

Persistence

3269d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9601
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2263
16.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7735
55.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0135
0.61

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3269 days