Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
766.57
increased by 97.17
1 Week
736.25
increased by 66.85
1 Month
681.66
increased by 12.26
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3431 trading days (~13.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3431 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9605 | 4.44*** |
| αARCH | 0.2250 | 16.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7748 | 55.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0149 | 0.67 |
1.000
Persistence3431d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9605 | 4.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2250 | 16.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7748 | 55.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0149 | 0.67 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3431 days
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