V-Lab
Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
493.68
increased by 51.06
1 Week
443.25
increased by 0.63
1 Month
313.19
decreased by 129.43
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 01:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3269 trading days (~13.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3269 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9601 | 4.42*** |
| αARCH | 0.2263 | 16.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7735 | 55.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0135 | 0.61 |
1.000
Persistence3269d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9601 | 4.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2263 | 16.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7735 | 55.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0135 | 0.61 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3269 days
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