Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
439.15
increased by 10.01
1 Week
347.74
decreased by 81.40
1 Month
352.60
decreased by 76.54
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3285 trading days (~13.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9587 | 4.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2283 | 16.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7715 | 54.44*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0108 | 0.48 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3285 days
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