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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

459.72

increased by 25.68

1 Week

346.12

decreased by 87.92

1 Month

369.08

decreased by 64.96

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 52% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0231
9.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1639
14.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7934
190.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0854
7.12***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-