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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

292.13

decreased by 47.51

1 Week

381.51

increased by 41.87

1 Month

421.80

increased by 82.16

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 52% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0229
9.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1632
14.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7942
192.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0852
7.13***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-