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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

624.20

increased by 177.19

1 Week

493.82

increased by 46.81

1 Month

485.74

increased by 38.73

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0226
2.33**
αARCH0.1624
3.71***
βGARCH0.7957
49.25***
γleverage0.0837
1.79*

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0226
2.33**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1624
3.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7957
49.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0837
1.79*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-