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Nodestream Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

62,398,110.00

decreased by 2,871,030.00

1 Week

27,380,752.00

decreased by 37,888,388.00

1 Month

9,194,555.09

decreased by 56,074,584.91

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 05:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0505
5.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9548
392.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0105
-0.90

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-