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Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

85.88

decreased by 7.62

1 Week

100.51

increased by 7.01

1 Month

94.92

increased by 1.42

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2005 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.9631
2.62***
αARCH0.0554
0.90
βGARCH0.8441
145.91***
γleverage0.2010
0.73

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9631
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0554
0.90
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8441
145.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2010
0.73

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-