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Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

47.37

decreased by 4.12

1 Week

50.33

decreased by 1.16

1 Month

40.29

decreased by 11.20

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2011 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 261 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 286% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~261 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 286% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3772
1.45
αARCH0.0444
2.80***
βGARCH0.8894
87.13***
γleverage0.1272
5.51***

0.997

Persistence

261d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3772
1.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0444
2.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8894
87.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1272
5.51***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

261 days