V-Lab
Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.22
1 Week
41.45
1 Month
29.24
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 2011 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1548 | 0.81 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7459 | 311.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1407 | 0.37 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.75 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9963 | 0.80 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.83 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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