Skip to main content
V-Lab

Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

25.26

decreased by 0.72

1 Week

30.50

increased by 4.52

1 Month

43.80

increased by 17.82

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 109 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2465
19.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7442
320.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0060
0.23
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9571
18.45***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0143
9.47***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

109 days