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Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

139,213.50

decreased by 11,726.40

1 Week

173,074.54

increased by 22,134.64

1 Month

177,938.01

increased by 26,998.11

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 1992 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4383
13.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7809
70.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4383
-8.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

15,479,240.0000

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days