Tsi Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
144.74
1 Week
146.74
1 Month
140.58
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2114 | 0.85 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7123 | 344.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2114 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2720 | 0.93 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9994 | 0.84 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0006 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.818
Half-life:
3 days
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