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V-Lab

Tsi Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

144.74

decreased by 31.44

1 Week

146.74

decreased by 29.44

1 Month

140.58

decreased by 35.60

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Tsi Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2114
0.85
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7123
344.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2114
-0.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2720
0.93
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9994
0.84
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0006
0.39

Persistence:

0.818

Half-life:

3 days