V-Lab
Tsi Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
357.41
1 Week
337.35
1 Month
231.75
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2061 | 0.85 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7255 | 486.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2061 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2670 | 0.91 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9990 | 0.83 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0010 | 0.32 |
Persistence:
0.829
Half-life:
4 days
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