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Tsi Co., Ltd. Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

152.75

decreased by 16.51

1 Week

153.68

decreased by 15.58

1 Month

142.28

decreased by 26.98

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tsi Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0959
5.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1602
13.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8436
469.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0076
-0.36

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-