V-Lab
Accord Transformer & Switchgear Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4,017.04
decreased by 326.27
1 Week
4,503.06
increased by 159.75
1 Month
5,458.60
increased by 1,115.29
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.08 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9237 | 43.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1379 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
94 days
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