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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, October 4th, 2026

1 Day

8,719.23

decreased by 37.23

1 Week

8,800.70

increased by 44.24

1 Month

8,717.44

decreased by 39.02

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Oct 1, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9930
82.36***
γleverage0.0140
1.39

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9930
82.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0140
1.39

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-