V-Lab
Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
9,395.78
decreased by 40.11
1 Week
9,502.71
increased by 66.82
1 Month
9,951.07
increased by 515.18
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2013 to Aug 13, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9930 | 325.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0139 | 5.50*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities