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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

8,593.33

increased by 19.07

1 Week

8,637.81

increased by 63.55

1 Month

9,006.40

increased by 432.14

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Sep 10, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9930
82.12***
γleverage0.0140
1.38

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9930
82.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0140
1.38

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-