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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, November 15th, 2026

1 Day

9,684.17

decreased by 62.19

1 Week

9,812.26

increased by 65.90

1 Month

9,843.79

increased by 97.43

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Nov 12, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9930
82.40***
γleverage0.0140
1.42

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9930
82.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0140
1.42

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days