Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
4,585.37
1 Week
6,520.22
1 Month
17,933.31
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2013 to Jul 9, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3514 | 1.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7987 | 28.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3514 | -0.65 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9974 | 323.30*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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