V-Lab
Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
3,704.34
1 Week
3,170.81
1 Month
4,840.31
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2013 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3551 | 1.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7952 | 28.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3551 | -0.65 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9974 | 327.22*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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