V-Lab
ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
20,915.13
1 Week
21,628.61
1 Month
23,819.38
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 683.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7890 | 52.07*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0203 | 8.24*** |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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