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ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

20,915.13

decreased by 511.07

1 Week

21,628.61

increased by 202.41

1 Month

23,819.38

increased by 2,393.18

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
683.05***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7890
52.07***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0203
8.24***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days