V-Lab
ASTA Energy Solutions AG Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
20,581.50
decreased by 3,328.06
1 Week
24,228.02
increased by 318.46
1 Month
27,179.50
increased by 3,269.94
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1740 | 1.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8272 | 15.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0025 | -0.01 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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