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V-Lab

ASTA Energy Solutions AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

42,450.17

increased by 11,236.36

1 Week

32,065.93

increased by 852.12

1 Month

31,473.21

increased by 259.40

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0977
6.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1596
1.93*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7413
6.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.3224
-1.50

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days