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V-Lab

ASTA Energy Solutions AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

19,770.26

decreased by 3,545.85

1 Week

26,881.16

increased by 3,565.05

1 Month

27,600.90

increased by 4,284.79

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0598
6.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1501
1.87*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7393
6.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-11.0852
-2.07**

Persistence:

0.889

Half-life:

6 days