Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

ASTA Energy Solutions AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

27,599.21

decreased by 1,567.21

1 Week

26,346.73

decreased by 2,819.69

1 Month

22,708.57

decreased by 6,457.85

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1453
6.49***
αARCH0.1510
2.09**
βGARCH0.7436
7.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-7.4853
-2.39**

0.895

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1453
6.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1510
2.09**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7436
7.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-7.4853
-2.39**

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days