Skip to main content
V-Lab

ASTA Energy Solutions AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

18,720.41

decreased by 2,356.68

1 Week

21,710.03

increased by 632.94

1 Month

25,148.43

increased by 4,071.34

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0645
6.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1407
1.84*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7542
6.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-10.2320
-2.42**

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days