Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

ASTA Energy Solutions AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

28,675.70

increased by 476.40

1 Week

25,344.82

decreased by 2,854.48

1 Month

26,197.22

decreased by 2,002.08

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of ASTA Energy Solutions AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1861
6.52***
αARCH0.1459
2.08**
βGARCH0.7569
7.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-5.6694
-2.00**

0.903

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1861
6.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1459
2.08**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7569
7.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-5.6694
-2.00**

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days