V-Lab
& Do Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
70.90
decreased by 3.52
1 Week
74.86
increased by 0.44
1 Month
100.16
increased by 25.74
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 25, 2015 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9715 | 6.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1334 | 12.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8574 | 79.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0245 | -2.54** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
75 days
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