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& Do Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

70.93

decreased by 1.39

1 Week

72.52

increased by 0.20

1 Month

87.69

increased by 15.37

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of & Do Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2015 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~76 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9641
6.57***
αARCH0.1329
12.46***
βGARCH0.8580
80.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0256
-2.76***

0.991

Persistence

76d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9641
6.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1329
12.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8580
80.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0256
-2.76***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

76 days