V-Lab
K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
158.09
decreased by 12.22
1 Week
124.64
decreased by 45.67
1 Month
131.80
decreased by 38.51
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4740 | 5.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2777 | 7.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6864 | 21.53*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1774 | 2.01** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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