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V-Lab

K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

158.09

decreased by 12.22

1 Week

124.64

decreased by 45.67

1 Month

131.80

decreased by 38.51

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2022 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4740
5.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2777
7.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6864
21.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1774
2.01**

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days