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V-Lab

K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

62.74

decreased by 13.17

1 Week

83.94

increased by 8.03

1 Month

123.56

increased by 47.65

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4652
5.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2870
7.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6776
22.31***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1262
1.67*

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days