V-Lab
K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
251.24
increased by 22.22
1 Week
260.86
increased by 31.84
1 Month
232.86
increased by 3.84
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Sep 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4589 | 5.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.2808 | 7.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6833 | 22.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.2166 | 2.70*** |
0.964
Persistence19d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4589 | 5.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2808 | 7.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6833 | 22.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.2166 | 2.70*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
Other K-Auction Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities