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V-Lab

K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

100.44

decreased by 30.94

1 Week

130.29

decreased by 1.09

1 Month

114.90

decreased by 16.48

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4848
5.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2895
7.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6750
22.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1243
1.64

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days