Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

135.43

decreased by 13.34

1 Week

206.24

increased by 57.47

1 Month

188.71

increased by 39.94

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2022 to Nov 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4156
5.45***
αARCH0.2761
7.57***
βGARCH0.6873
23.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2486
3.40***

0.963

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4156
5.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2761
7.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6873
23.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2486
3.40***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

19 days