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K-Auction Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

189.09

decreased by 63.89

1 Week

232.10

decreased by 20.88

1 Month

247.34

decreased by 5.64

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2022 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4330
5.44***
αARCH0.2794
7.39***
βGARCH0.6844
22.47***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2081
2.63***

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4330
5.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2794
7.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6844
22.47***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2081
2.63***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days