K-Auction Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026
1 Day
111.22
decreased by 6.38
1 Week
155.05
increased by 37.45
1 Month
175.09
increased by 57.49
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Nov 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4347 | 1.24 |
| αARCH | 0.1255 | 2.31** |
| βGARCH | 0.7733 | 31.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.1743 | 1.74* |
0.986
Persistence49d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4347 | 1.24 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1255 | 2.31** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7733 | 31.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1743 | 1.74* |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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