K-Auction Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
218.28
decreased by 64.41
1 Week
250.84
decreased by 31.85
1 Month
249.63
decreased by 33.06
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 46-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5065 | 1.40 |
| αARCH | 0.1450 | 2.52** |
| βGARCH | 0.7599 | 29.38*** |
| γleverage | 0.1604 | 1.59 |
0.985
Persistence46d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5065 | 1.40 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1450 | 2.52** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7599 | 29.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1604 | 1.59 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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