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Bodycote PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

2,685.29

decreased by 72.35

1 Week

2,855.59

increased by 97.95

1 Month

3,717.37

increased by 959.73

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bodycote PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.25
αARCH0.0224
3.10***
βGARCH0.9649
204.38***
γleverage0.0255
1.57

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0224
3.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9649
204.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0255
1.57

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-