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Bodycote PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

3,270.77

decreased by 149.11

1 Week

3,760.12

increased by 340.24

1 Month

4,702.59

increased by 1,282.71

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bodycote PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0888
6.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9179
634.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0637
-4.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9992

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days