V-Lab
Bodycote PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,929.16
1 Week
5,158.73
1 Month
6,015.33
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 23, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0884 | 6.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9184 | 639.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0631 | -4.49*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.36 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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