V-Lab
Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
2,316.03
1 Week
2,018.95
1 Month
2,460.26
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2242 | 2.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7235 | 70.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0407 | 0.28 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.5597 | 14.86*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 805.23*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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