V-Lab
Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
153.67
1 Week
157.16
1 Month
159.86
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1925 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8204 | 12.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1908 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.4437 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0593 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.917
Half-life:
8 days
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