Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
180.94
1 Week
208.95
1 Month
170.58
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1940 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8191 | 313.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1940 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3452 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3464 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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