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Raccoon Holdings Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

122.42

decreased by 20.83

1 Week

149.56

increased by 6.31

1 Month

183.63

increased by 40.38

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5258
2.30**
αARCH0.1043
7.93***
βGARCH0.8415
102.49***
γleverage0.1084
4.42***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5258
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1043
7.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8415
102.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1084
4.42***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-