Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Raccoon Holdings Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

231.88

increased by 5.73

1 Week

195.66

decreased by 30.49

1 Month

184.50

decreased by 41.65

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2006 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5244
2.30**
αARCH0.1042
7.94***
βGARCH0.8418
102.77***
γleverage0.1080
4.41***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5244
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1042
7.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8418
102.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1080
4.41***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-