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Raccoon Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

206.61

decreased by 1.14

1 Week

189.57

decreased by 18.18

1 Month

191.66

decreased by 16.09

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2006 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2484 trading days (~9.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2484 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8869
5.94***
αARCH0.1718
19.14***
βGARCH0.8279
92.11***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0085
1.54

1.000

Persistence

2484d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8869
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1718
19.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8279
92.11***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0085
1.54

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2484 days