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Raccoon Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

210.58

decreased by 12.49

1 Week

196.54

decreased by 26.53

1 Month

173.29

decreased by 49.78

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2006 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2493 trading days (~9.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2493 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8862
5.94***
αARCH0.1720
19.12***
βGARCH0.8277
91.87***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0084
1.49

1.000

Persistence

2493d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8862
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1720
19.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8277
91.87***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0084
1.49

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2493 days