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Raccoon Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

149.43

decreased by 5.05

1 Week

152.41

decreased by 2.07

1 Month

155.65

increased by 1.17

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Raccoon Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2493 trading days (~9.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8853
5.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1720
19.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8277
91.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0081
1.41

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2493 days