V-Lab
Raccoon Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
176.18
decreased by 20.44
1 Week
187.92
decreased by 8.70
1 Month
177.89
decreased by 18.73
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2493 trading days (~9.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8859 | 5.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1720 | 19.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8277 | 91.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0084 | 1.49 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2493 days
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