V-Lab
ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
208.33
decreased by 7.44
1 Week
249.09
increased by 33.32
1 Month
418.44
increased by 202.67
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8673 | 0.51 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2877 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7123 | 0.03 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.0022 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 0.6962 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -2.7621 | -0.04 |
| γ4 | 4.6841 | 0.01 |
| γ5 | -4.3244 | -0.01 |
| γ6 | 2.3174 | 0.01 |
| γ7 | -0.7475 | -0.01 |
| γ8 | -0.0108 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
86643 days
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