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ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

231.52

decreased by 16.84

1 Week

253.46

increased by 5.10

1 Month

366.61

increased by 118.25

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 471 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9688
5.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2809
22.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7177
63.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0149
0.80

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

471 days