ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
169.64
decreased by 19.26
1 Week
179.27
decreased by 9.63
1 Month
219.05
increased by 30.15
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2010 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 55 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7270 | 7.55*** |
| αARCH | 0.1295 | 4.50*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8580 | 25.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0135 | -2.01** |
0.987
Persistence55d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7270 | 7.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1295 | 4.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8580 | 25.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0135 | -2.01** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
55 days
Other ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities