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ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

169.64

decreased by 19.26

1 Week

179.27

decreased by 9.63

1 Month

219.05

increased by 30.15

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2010 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 55 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7270
7.55***
αARCH0.1295
4.50***
βGARCH0.8580
25.02***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0135
-2.01**

0.987

Persistence

55d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7270
7.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1295
4.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8580
25.02***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0135
-2.01**

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days