V-Lab
ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
231.52
decreased by 16.84
1 Week
253.46
increased by 5.10
1 Month
366.61
increased by 118.25
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 471 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9688 | 5.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2809 | 22.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7177 | 63.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0149 | 0.80 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
471 days
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