ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
177.27
decreased by 19.11
1 Week
186.82
decreased by 9.56
1 Month
258.05
increased by 61.67
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2010 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~91 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.8201 | 1.17 |
| αARCH | 0.0735 | 1.14 |
| βGARCH | 0.8617 | 21.40*** |
| γleverage | 0.1144 | 1.25 |
0.992
Persistence91d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.8201 | 1.17 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0735 | 1.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8617 | 21.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1144 | 1.25 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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