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ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

177.27

decreased by 19.11

1 Week

186.82

decreased by 9.56

1 Month

258.05

increased by 61.67

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2010 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~91 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.8201
1.17
αARCH0.0735
1.14
βGARCH0.8617
21.40***
γleverage0.1144
1.25

0.992

Persistence

91d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.8201
1.17
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0735
1.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8617
21.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1144
1.25

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days