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Placo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

2,551.32

decreased by 70.20

1 Week

2,586.42

decreased by 35.10

1 Month

2,787.26

increased by 165.74

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Placo Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 89% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 89% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.99
αARCH0.0547
4.26***
βGARCH0.9208
118.75***
γleverage0.0489
2.53**

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.99
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
4.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9208
118.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0489
2.53**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days