V-Lab
Placo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,551.32
1 Week
2,586.42
1 Month
2,787.26
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 89% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.99 |
| αARCH | 0.0547 | 4.26*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9208 | 118.75*** |
| γleverage | 0.0489 | 2.53** |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.99 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0547 | 4.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9208 | 118.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0489 | 2.53** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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